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Provide an example of a managerial decision that illustrates each one of the following behaviors: Behavior: Overconfidence Example: Behavior: Affect heuristic Example: Behavior: Loss aversion Example:

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Up until three years ago,A.C.Dime opened an average of ten new retail stores a year.One of those stores had to be closed within two years due to poor sales.This 90 percent success ratio was fairly steady for over 30 years.Starting three years ago,the firm has opened 40 new stores and every one had significant profits within 6 months.Management believes their recent success is not just a random event and that all future stores will be profitable.Thus,the managers have decided to open a minimum of 15 new stores each year.The managers are suffering from:


A) arbitrage limitations.
B) anchoring and adjustment.
C) aversion to ambiguity.
D) the clustering illusion.
E) myopic aversion.

F) A) and E)
G) A) and B)

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You recently overheard your boss telling someone that if he'd actually crunched some numbers and done some analysis instead of just going with his instincts that he never would have opened the new store in Centre City.Which one of the following caused your boss to make a bad decision?


A) regret aversion
B) endowment effect
C) money illusion
D) affect heuristic
E) representativeness heuristic

F) All of the above
G) A) and B)

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Steve purchased a stock last year for $34 a share.The stock increased in value to $36 a share before declining to its current value of $30.Steve has decided to sell the stock,but only if he can receive $34 a share or better.Steve is suffering most from which one of the following behavioral conditions?


A) representativeness heuristic
B) house money
C) get-evenitis
D) randomness
E) arbitrage reaction

F) A) and E)
G) None of the above

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Which one of the following is an investment risk that investors face in addition to firm-based risk and market-based risk?


A) management-related risk
B) inflation risk
C) supply chain risk
D) interest rate risk
E) sentiment-based risk

F) B) and D)
G) A) and B)

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Which one of the following best illustrates an error which you,as a manager,might make due to overconfidence?


A) overestimating the best outcome expected from a project while underestimating the possibility of a less favorable outcome
B) assuming that a new project will be profitable since similar projects in the past were successful
C) assuming that your expectations of the future outcome from a project are more accurate than the expectations of others within your organization
D) listening to the advice of subordinates with whom you agree while ignoring the advice of subordinates with whom you tend to disagree
E) downplaying the cost of future failure of an existing project since the project has already paid for itself

F) B) and E)
G) A) and D)

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Which one of the following refers to the fact that an individual may reply differently if a question is asked in a different manner?


A) loss aversion
B) gambler's fallacy
C) frame dependence
D) overconfidence
E) format reference

F) A) and B)
G) A) and E)

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The tendency for a decision maker to search for confirmation that a recent decision he or she made was a good decision represents which one of the following characteristics?


A) overconfidence
B) overoptimism
C) affect heuristic
D) confirmation bias
E) representativeness heuristic

F) C) and E)
G) B) and D)

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Mike is a stock broker and financial planner.Phil is one of Mike's clients.Phil prefers to meet with Mike just once a year to review his investment portfolio.At their most recent meeting,Phil stated he believes the stock market is going to decline in value over the next six months.Thus,Phil instructed Mike to sell every stock he owns that is currently worth more than what he paid to purchase it.Phil also instructed Mike to retain any stock that would create a capital loss if sold.Phil is displaying the behavior known as:


A) overconfidence.
B) arbitrage theory.
C) the disposition effect.
D) the house money effect.
E) a confirmation bias.

F) C) and D)
G) A) and B)

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Amy is the chief financial officer of a retail toy store.Recently,she decided that the firm should expand its operations and open two additional stores.Within a very brief period,it was obvious that Amy had made a very bad decision in opening those stores,given that the economy is in the middle of a severe recession.In reflecting back on her decision,Amy realizes that she made a bad decision due to a reasoning error.Which one of the following areas of study best applies to this situation?


A) corporate ethics
B) financial statement analysis
C) managerial finance
D) debt management
E) behavioral finance

F) D) and E)
G) B) and C)

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Marzella Corp.is analyzing a project that involves expanding the firm into a new product line.The project includes the construction of a new manufacturing facility and the creation of a new distribution system.The project's financial projections will tend to have which one of the following characteristics if the person compiling those projections suffers from overoptimism?


A) overestimated construction costs
B) overestimated expenses
C) overestimated net present values
D) underestimated profits
E) underestimated sales estimates

F) B) and D)
G) A) and B)

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Old Country Productions requires skilled furniture finishers to put the final touches on all of the furniture it produces.The firm hired two individuals last year who had been students in Mr.Tedwell's wood shop class in high school.Both of these employees have demonstrated exceptional skills and have already been promoted to senior finishing positions.The firm currently has an opening for one additional finisher.Tom,the head of the finishing section,has stipulated that he only wants to interview candidates who have completed Mr.Tedwell's course.Tom's behavior is typical of someone who has which one of the following characteristic behaviours?


A) endowment effect
B) framing effect
C) representativeness heuristic
D) narrow framing
E) affect heuristic

F) A) and B)
G) A) and C)

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Which one of the following statements related to market crashes is correct?


A) Financial market crashes are unique to the United States.
B) A severe market decline tends to occur over a multi-day period.
C) Once the market finally crashed in 1929,stock prices began to slowly increase again.
D) The market crash of 1987 occurred on a day when trading volume was light indicating there were a limited number of irrational investors involved.
E) Actions in Washington,D.C.may have helped contribute to the market crash in 1929 but not to the 1987 crash.

F) C) and E)
G) All of the above

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In an efficient market,it is believed by some individuals that the actions of traders who constantly buy and sell on any perceived market mispricings will in effect cause market prices to correctly reflect asset values.A person who believes that the actions of these traders will not result in correctly valued prices are most apt to believe in which one of the following?


A) gambler's fallacy
B) limits to arbitrage
C) availability bias
D) false consensus
E) clustering illusion

F) C) and D)
G) A) and B)

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Explain 1)the concept of house money,2)why the house money concept is such a common behavior for so many individuals and 3)why house money is an irrational behavior.

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House money relates to the concept that ...

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Ramon opened a combination laundry and dry cleaning establishment three years ago.Due to his excellent service and reasonable prices,his business has grown and is doing quite well financially.He has considered expanding this business by opening another location but keeps putting off that decision for fear that the second location will not be a success.Ramon is currently displaying which one of the following behavior characteristics?


A) self-attribution bias
B) overconfidence
C) regret aversion
D) house money effect
E) frame dependence

F) C) and E)
G) B) and C)

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Amy has been investing in stocks so she can accumulate sufficient money to purchase her own home.These savings are currently valued at $82,500.As recently as last month,her savings were worth in excess of $110,000.Today,Amy found the perfect house.She knows she can withdraw her savings to pay on this house and borrow the remaining balance from her father at zero percent interest.However,Amy is refusing now to buy any house until her savings increase in value back to their $110,000 previous valuation.Amy is displaying which one of the following behaviors?


A) representativeness heuristic
B) loss aversion
C) house money effect
D) underconfidence
E) confirmation bias

F) D) and E)
G) A) and E)

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Bill feels that he possesses a good dose of "street smarts".Thus,he makes his business decisions based on how a project feels to him rather than taking the time to financially analyze a project.This type of behavior is referred to as:


A) overconfidence.
B) endowment effect.
C) money illusion.
D) affect heuristic.
E) sentiment-based risk.

F) C) and E)
G) D) and E)

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Assume you are an overconfident manager.You are most apt to do which one of the following more so than you would if you were not overconfident?


A) research a project more thoroughly before committing funds to commence it
B) accept risky projects that turn out to be less profitable than you expected
C) wait until new technology proves its worth before incorporating it into your firm's operations
D) avoid mergers and acquisitions
E) invest excess company cash more conservatively than your peers at other firms

F) A) and D)
G) A) and E)

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Historical returns support which one of the following statements?


A) Financial markets are highly inefficient as suggested by behavioral finance.
B) Professional money managers tend to outperform the Vanguard 500 index fund about 55 percent of the time on average.
C) The longer the time span, the more apt a professional money manager is to outperform an index fund, such as the S&P 500.
D) Historical data supports the statement that arbitrage is unlimited and results in a totally efficient market.
E) The financial markets appear to be efficient because, on average, they outperform professional money managers.

F) A) and D)
G) A) and E)

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